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Why automation does not lead to unemployment At least three reasons
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Article source: NetEase intelligence Release time: 2017-4-17
Automation makes a large part of the U.S. labor force is facing the risk of unemployment, but not absolute unemployment. The economy is changing, and automation and innovation will bring new jobs. Who is going to pay for the disappearance of jobs in the United States is not allowed. Some people think that the responsibility lies in Mexico and China, international trade, and foreign population. Others believe that artificial intelligence and automation are the source of evil. There is evidence that a lot of work has been out of date since automation (but not trade or immigration). However, these two positions ignore the real problem: the economy is undergoing fundamental changes, this change is irreversible.
By 2020, artificial intelligence may account for 85% of customer service transactions. In 2015, 8 million of the workforce in the United States engaged in retail and counter work, artificial intelligence in the near future will completely replace the human. At present, the United States has 2 million 700 thousand truck drivers, feel anxious and fearful they are automatic driving technology. By the middle of the 20s, automation may also have replaced human beings in the food industry. But even in 2013, about 47% of workers in the United States were at risk of losing their jobs. It can be said that we live in a historical period of unemployment and economic change, it can be said that this is the next stage of the economic cycle. If that is the case, then our economic transformation is like the shift of workers from agriculture to factories. This may sound ominous, but in fact, this is good news. This means that automation will not let you lose your job, for at least three.
first
New technology trading is always at the bottom of the work began, in the elimination of existing positions, but also bring new job opportunities.
Colin Paris, vice president of software research at GE explained in an interview, said: "to resist unemployment is not to resist automation: our approach is to develop the skills we have. Because in the future, we must accept robotics. It allows us to reduce costs. If I reduce the cost, I will have more money for innovation. The more money I have, the more new products I can create. The more products I create, the more employees I can hire."
Second
The jobs that lead to unemployment are also hard to keep workers.
Bob Doyle, of the Institute of advanced automation, said: "artificial intelligence allows employees to leave boring, dirty, dangerous work. This gives them a chance to get a different position to create greater value for the company." Paris agrees with Bob. There is no doubt that automation will eliminate some of the underlying work. Automation liberates people from jobs they don't want to do, at the expense of health and life. Although we are not always good at cooperation, we need to develop better in the new economy. We should not everyone should do much unpleasant work and debate, on the contrary, we are willing to pay for entrepreneurship and voluntary work, achieve more innovation and more new work in the essential foundation.
Third
Our economy will change dramatically, but no one can foresee the change.
Economists warn us of the danger of "employment polarization", which is now classified as highly skilled and unskilled, with a lack of intermediate jobs. However, part of the reason why we don't have a middle job is that we don't have enough self education to understand what new jobs are in the automation age. "We can't predict what jobs will be created in the future," Joel Mokyr, an economist at the Northwestern University, said in an interview with the economist. Video game designers and network security experts are not expected in the past. "
The important question is not who is' Stealing 'work, because things have happened, or will happen, this trend will not change. Why do we have to return the dangerous, dirty, boring jobs? We can innovate as we did in the past and create new jobs. Now, we either retrain the workforce to master these economic changes, or face the growing gap between skilled and unskilled labor. Hope we choose the former.
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